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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702Flaznorpndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)39% (403–639, n=1042)52% (6467–6001, n=12468)63% (989–572, n=1561)48% (14109–15586, n=29695)
Consensus PnL$24K$3.5M$3.2M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #155PM monthly #23PM monthly #103PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus71% (27 of 38 open)72% (83 of 116 open)72% (71 of 98 open)50% (14 of 28 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicWeather −1 pts, n=1106Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won55% of 1969 at avg 55¢, ROI −1%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢44% (won 2% of 861)29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 43% of 44)16% (won 40% of 255)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢2% (won 82% of 45)16% (won 62% of 260)24% (won 58% of 314)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up52% (won 99% of 1019)39% (won 94% of 637)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702Flaznorpndb1RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466—No $529
W50 Huamantla: Victoria Rodriguez vs Maria Sholokhova
opposite sides · consensus Maria Sholokhova
—Victoria Rodriguez $38—Maria Sholokhova $769
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $440—Warriors $143
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)
same side · consensus SE Palmeiras
—SE Palmeiras $16K—SE Palmeiras $8.2K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Cali: Luisina Giovannini vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
—Bianca Andreescu $3.4K—Bianca Andreescu $5.8K
Costa do Sauipe: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Elmer Moeller
same side · consensus Joao Lucas Da Silva
—Joao Lucas Da Silva $1.1K—Joao Lucas Da Silva $1.1K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $138—Yes $192
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $8—Under $316
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Warriors $192—Warriors $108
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176—Under $42