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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 66% (3085–1602, n=4687) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 47% (14161–15670, n=29831) |
| Consensus PnL | $216K | $7.9M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #528 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #90 | PM monthly #32 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (29 of 43 open) | 78% (28 of 36 open) | 72% (53 of 74 open) | 56% (44 of 79 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 1883 at avg 76¢, ROI +25% | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 100% of 64) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 9% (won 100% of 170) | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 21% (won 100% of 394) | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 67% (won 100% of 1255) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
12 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Heat $224 | Warriors $3.5K | — | Warriors $510 |
| Jaguars vs. Ravens opposite sides · consensus Jaguars | — | Ravens $265K | — | Jaguars $20K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $175K | — | Jaguars $1.5K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $601 | — | Jaguars $3.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $242 | — | — | Over $3.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.1K | — | — | Over $1.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $456 | — | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.1K | — | — | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $981 | — | — | No $529 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $1.3K | — | Jaguars $174 |
| Heat vs. Warriors opposite sides · consensus Warriors | Heat $29 | Warriors $821 | — | — |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | Athletic Club $775 | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $289 | — | — | Over $360 |
| Spread: Suns (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Suns $460 | — | — | Magic $40 |
| Spread: Suns (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | Suns $120 | — | — | Magic $55 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $75 | — | — | Yes $7 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $407K | No $335K | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $1.2K | — | — | No $2.5K |
| Spread: Magic (-1.5) same side · consensus Suns | Suns $2.2K | — | — | Suns $1.1K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-8.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $287 | — | Ravens $2.8K |
| South Florida Bulls vs. DePaul Blue Demons same side · consensus DePaul Blue Demons | DePaul Blue Demons $1.7K | — | — | DePaul Blue Demons $391 |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $230 | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K |
| Spread: Suns (-1.5) same side · consensus Magic | Suns $309 | — | — | Suns $1.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $439 | — | — | Under $1.1K |
| Towson Tigers vs. Utah Utes same side · consensus Utah Utes | Utah Utes $811 | — | — | Utah Utes $217 |
| Spread: Magic (-2.5) same side · consensus Suns | Suns $869 | — | — | Suns $27 |
| Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 236.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $630 | — | — | Under $245 |
| Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $234 | — | — | Under $338 |