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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 66% (3094–1604, n=4698) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 50% (20931–20602, n=41533) |
| Consensus PnL | $212K | $5.3M | $3.2M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #528 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #102 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (11 of 15 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (95 of 132 open) | 70% (32 of 46 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 1734 at avg 76¢, ROI +25% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 100% of 58) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 9% (won 100% of 159) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 21% (won 100% of 361) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 67% (won 100% of 1156) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
12 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $388 | — | — | Athletic Club $226 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $92 | — | — | Over $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.7K | — | — | Under $22K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.5K | — | — | Under $5.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | No $1.2K | — | — | No $5.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $2.7K | — | — | Under $1.5K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $12 | — | — | Yes $3.7K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $8 | — | — | No $3.1K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.4K | — | — | Under $601 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $439 | — | — | Under $945 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | Athletic Club $755 | — | — | Athletic Club $345 |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 2 - 2 Athletic Club? same side · consensus No | No $46 | — | — | No $3 |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club? same side · consensus No | Yes $24 | — | — | Yes $2 |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1 - 0 Athletic Club? same side · consensus No | Yes $3 | — | — | Yes $6 |