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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankFlaznorpplusti
Record (consensus markets)47% (41–47, n=88)60% (12–8, n=20)75% (594–196, n=790)44% (12–15, n=27)
Consensus PnL-$411K$779K$19K$31K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #1PM monthly #13was PM monthly #883
Sides with the consensus65% (13 of 20 open)40% (4 of 10 open)67% (138 of 207 open)29% (2 of 7 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=21—Soccer −8 pts, n=40—
Settled positions, side won63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0%95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%—
Entries under 30¢15% (won 11% of 287)11% (won 69% of 36)34% (won 10% of 30)—
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 50% of 452)35% (won 97% of 116)19% (won 29% of 17)—
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 68% of 546)37% (won 99% of 124)13% (won 55% of 11)—
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 93% of 588)17% (won 100% of 56)34% (won 83% of 30)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankFlaznorpplusti
UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane
Josh Hokit $20KCiryl Gane $47K——
Spread: Magic (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Kings $5.9K—Magic $201—
Spread: Magic (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Magic $4.7K—Kings $2—
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group A
opposite sides · consensus Nemiga Gaming
——Nemiga Gaming $4Zero Tenacity $240
Celtics vs. 76ers
same side · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $65K—Celtics $5.3K
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)
same side · consensus Bucks
Bucks $37K—Bucks $12—
Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $17K—Over $5—
Heat vs. Jazz
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $8.5K—Heat $6.2K—
Spread: Heat (-5.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Jazz $32—Jazz $225—
Spread: Heat (-7.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Jazz $12—Jazz $222—
Ohio vs. Miami (OH)
same side · consensus Miami (OH)
Miami (OH) $70—Miami (OH) $35—
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
—Celtics $9Celtics $11—