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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankglennyorkshireRN1
Record (consensus markets)44% (47–59, n=106)68% (17–8, n=25)61% (37–24, n=61)67% (429–211, n=640)
Consensus PnL-$550K$884K$21K-$142K
Tracked asPM monthly #11PM monthly #1PM monthly #527PM monthly #43 + pinned
Sides with the consensus82% (9 of 11 open)29% (4 of 14 open)100% (3 of 3 open)64% (34 of 53 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=21———
Settled positions, side won63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0%95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%—100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 11% of 287)11% (won 69% of 36)—1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 50% of 452)35% (won 97% of 116)—26% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 68% of 546)37% (won 99% of 124)—40% (won 100% of 95)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 93% of 588)17% (won 100% of 56)—33% (won 100% of 80)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankglennyorkshireRN1
Spread: Magic (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Magic $117KKings $84—Magic $1.4K
UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane
Josh Hokit $21KCiryl Gane $49K——
Spread: Magic (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Kings $6.9K——Magic $2.5K
Spread: Magic (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
—Kings $5.5K—Magic $2.4K
Matsuyama: Joel Schwaerzler vs Kaichi Uchida
opposite sides · consensus Joel Schwaerzler
——Joel Schwaerzler $1.3KKaichi Uchida $25
Spread: Magic (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
—Kings $620—Magic $636
Spread: Magic (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
—Kings $249—Magic $354
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $36K—Trail Blazers $612
Magic vs. Kings
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $12K——Magic $25K
Spread: Magic (-11.5)
same side · consensus Kings
Kings $12K——Kings $1.1K
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $11K—Trail Blazers $81
W75 Brisbane: Joanna Garland vs Hikaru Sato
same side · consensus Joanna Garland
——Joanna Garland $2.2KJoanna Garland $475