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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | FYYY0689 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (41–49, n=90) | no settled market | no settled market | 68% (360–171, n=531) |
| Consensus PnL | -$451K | — | — | -$115K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #306 | PM monthly #152 | PM monthly #43 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 61% (17 of 28 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 58% (93 of 161 open) |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=71 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 49% of 71 at avg 49¢, ROI +12% | 54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 1% (won 0% of 1) | 19% (won 10% of 96) | 1% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 63% (won 51% of 45) | 21% (won 35% of 105) | 26% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 35% (won 48% of 25) | 27% (won 54% of 132) | 40% (won 100% of 95) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 0% | 33% (won 91% of 163) | 33% (won 100% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | FYYY0689 | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat vs. Jazz opposite sides · consensus Heat | Heat $42K | — | — | Jazz $1.9K |
| Spread: Knicks (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Bucks | Bucks $1.3K | — | — | Knicks $751 |
| Spread: Bowling Green (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Bowling Green | Kent State $123 | — | — | Bowling Green $1.7K |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $239 | — | — | Over $710 |
| Spread: Heat (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $29 | — | — | Heat $250 |
| Spread: Heat (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $6 | — | — | Heat $174 |
| Knoxville: Marcos Giron vs Maks Kasnikowski same side · consensus Marcos Giron | Marcos Giron $36K | — | — | Marcos Giron $20K |
| San Diego Toreros vs. Colorado Buffaloes same side · consensus Colorado Buffaloes | Colorado Buffaloes $27K | — | — | Colorado Buffaloes $151 |
| Spread: Heat (-6.5) same side · consensus Heat | Jazz $17K | — | — | Jazz $64 |
| Bucks vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $12K | — | — | Over $41 |
| Spread: Suns (-3.5) same side · consensus Suns | Suns $5.4K | — | — | Suns $412 |
| Spread: Celtics (-2.5) same side · consensus Celtics | 76ers $4.1K | — | — | 76ers $1.7K |
| Spread: Knicks (-17.5) same side · consensus Knicks | Knicks $2.0K | — | — | Knicks $778 |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 216.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $135 | — | — | Under $527 |