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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpjoseph00677Pan9X
Record (consensus markets)48% (61–67, n=128)75% (735–246, n=981)no settled market74% (355–126, n=481)
Consensus PnL-$304K$68K—-$4.0K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #14PM monthly #6was PM monthly #979
Sides with the consensus25% (2 of 8 open)68% (65 of 96 open)no open consensus position52% (38 of 73 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +24 pts n=49, ROI +23%
  • Tennis +29 pts n=10, ROI +26%
Weakest topic—Soccer −8 pts, n=40——
Settled positions, side won97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33%100% of 75 at avg 76¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 1)34% (won 10% of 30)8% (won 0% of 1)1% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 94% of 17)19% (won 29% of 17)8% (won 0% of 1)11% (won 100% of 8)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 100% of 33)13% (won 55% of 11)69% (won 67% of 9)24% (won 100% of 18)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 100% of 16)34% (won 83% of 30)15% (won 100% of 2)64% (won 100% of 48)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpjoseph00677Pan9X
Orleans: Jurij Rodionov vs Pedro Martinez
opposite sides · consensus Pedro Martinez
Jurij Rodionov $20KJurij Rodionov $5.9K—Pedro Martinez $19
Seahawks vs. Raiders
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $542—Raiders $16
Monastir: Kilian Feldbausch vs Tiago Pereira
opposite sides · consensus Kilian Feldbausch
—Kilian Feldbausch $339—Tiago Pereira $11
Commanders vs. Giants
opposite sides · consensus Giants
—Giants $23—Commanders $39
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
—Cowboys $15—49ers $44
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
—Bulls $3—Spurs $17
Spread: Rockets (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $2—Warriors $17
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 196.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $6—Over $9
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B
same side · consensus MOUZ
MOUZ $105K——MOUZ $12
Spread: Magic (-4.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Magic $33K——Magic $12
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Tabilo
same side · consensus Lorenzo Sonego
—Alejandro Tabilo $7.6K—Alejandro Tabilo $66
WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova
same side · consensus Elina Svitolina
—Karolina Muchova $2.3K—Karolina Muchova $33
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Borna Gojo vs Ugo Humbert
same side · consensus Ugo Humbert
—Ugo Humbert $1.8K—Ugo Humbert $36
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud
same side · consensus Casper Ruud
—Alexander Shevchenko $1.0K—Alexander Shevchenko $22
Orleans: Zsombor Piros vs Clement Tabur
same side · consensus Clement Tabur
—Zsombor Piros $530—Zsombor Piros $58
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
Vikings $93——Vikings $37
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $83—Under $38
Monastir: Eliakim Coulibaly vs Luka Mikrut
same side · consensus Luka Mikrut
—Eliakim Coulibaly $80—Eliakim Coulibaly $23
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49—Colts $11
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)
same side · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $3—Rockets $12