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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465gmpm2keeptheblueflagflyinghighrobustmst
Record (consensus markets)46% (41–49, n=90)50% (2–2, n=4)43% (130–174, n=304)41% (12–17, n=29)
Consensus PnL-$451K-$6.1K$100K$208K
Tracked asPM monthly #11PM monthly #71PM monthly #40PM monthly #29
Sides with the consensus57% (12 of 21 open)no open consensus position53% (51 of 96 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
  • Tennis +40 pts n=29, ROI +35%
  • Soccer +47 pts n=11, ROI +39%
  • NBA +13 pts n=15, ROI +22%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=21NBA −2 pts, n=33——
Settled positions, side won63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0%57% of 337 at avg 56¢, ROI +3%100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%82% of 55 at avg 47¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 11% of 287)6% (won 32% of 19)6% (won 100% of 9)2% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 50% of 452)29% (won 48% of 97)42% (won 100% of 63)65% (won 78% of 36)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 68% of 546)45% (won 55% of 150)40% (won 100% of 61)29% (won 94% of 16)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 93% of 588)21% (won 80% of 71)12% (won 100% of 18)4% (won 50% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465gmpm2keeptheblueflagflyinghighrobustmst
Spread: Heat (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Jazz $17K—Heat $30K—
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A
opposite sides · consensus FURIA
FURIA $13K—Legacy $2.1K—
Spread: Celtics (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
76ers $2—Celtics $8.2K—
Celtics vs. 76ers
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $50K—Celtics $108K—
Spread: Magic (-5.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $127K—Magic $425—
Spread: Suns (-3.5)
same side · consensus Suns
Suns $6.6K—Suns $42K—
San Diego Toreros vs. Colorado Buffaloes
same side · consensus Colorado Buffaloes
Colorado Buffaloes $31K—Colorado Buffaloes $2.7K—
Ohio vs. Miami (OH)
same side · consensus Ohio
Miami (OH) $17K—Miami (OH) $2.1K—
Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $239—Under $17K—
Spread: Heat (-7.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Jazz $6—Jazz $1.6K—
Spread: Bowling Green (-5.5)
same side · consensus Bowling Green
Kent State $123—Kent State $775—
Spread: Heat (-5.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Jazz $29—Jazz $84—
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
76ers $73—76ers $10—