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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | googleplay | RN1 | whig | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (41–49, n=90) | 40% (2–3, n=5) | 68% (360–171, n=531) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | -$451K | $391K | -$115K | -$1 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #18 | PM monthly #43 + pinned | was PM monthly #927 |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (12 of 21 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 58% (89 of 153 open) | 50% (2 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 2 at avg 65¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 19% (won 70% of 10) | 26% (won 100% of 62) | 50% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 76% (won 85% of 41) | 40% (won 100% of 95) | 0% |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 6% (won 100% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 80) | 50% (won 100% of 1) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | googleplay | RN1 | whig |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Magic $127K | Kings $58K | Kings $68 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | — | Celtics $33K | 76ers $160 | — |
| Spread: Heat (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Jazz $17K | — | Heat $679 | — |
| Spread: Magic (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $5.9K | — | Magic $183 | — |
| Spread: Bowling Green (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Bowling Green | Kent State $123 | — | Bowling Green $1.7K | — |
| Spread: Heat (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Jazz $29 | — | Heat $691 | — |
| Spread: Heat (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $6 | — | Heat $279 | — |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $86K | Under $51 | — |
| Celtics vs. 76ers same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $50K | — | Celtics $24K | — |
| Heat vs. Jazz same side · consensus Heat | Heat $50K | — | Heat $13K | — |
| Clippers vs. Suns same side · consensus Suns | Suns $1.5K | — | Suns $9.1K | — |
| Spread: Suns (-3.5) same side · consensus Suns | Suns $6.6K | — | Suns $492 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-2.5) same side · consensus Celtics | 76ers $73 | — | 76ers $873 | — |
| Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 216.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $61 | — | Under $286 | — |