← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | lightningbolts | RN1 | robustmst | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (71–72, n=143) | 100% (5–0, n=5) | 66% (497–255, n=752) | 42% (13–18, n=31) |
| Consensus PnL | -$252K | $5.9K | -$131K | $208K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #13 | was PM monthly #995 | PM monthly #48 + pinned | PM monthly #28 |
| Sides with the consensus | 42% (14 of 33 open) | no open consensus position | 61% (102 of 168 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 6 at avg 65¢, ROI +32% | 100% of 206 at avg 68¢, ROI +33% | 100% of 13 at avg 45¢, ROI +50% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 50% of 2) | 0% | 6% (won 100% of 12) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 95% of 19) | 17% (won 100% of 1) | 13% (won 100% of 26) | 85% (won 100% of 11) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 46% (won 100% of 33) | 50% (won 100% of 3) | 30% (won 100% of 62) | 15% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 100% of 18) | 33% (won 100% of 2) | 51% (won 100% of 106) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
11 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | lightningbolts | RN1 | robustmst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo vs. Ball State: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $12K | — | Over $2.7K | — |
| UMass vs. Toledo opposite sides · consensus Toledo | Toledo $1.7K | — | UMass $138 | — |
| Spread: Toledo (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus UMass | Toledo $520 | — | UMass $1.3K | — |
| Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $789 | — | Over $75 | — |
| Buffalo vs. Ball State same side · consensus Ball State | Buffalo $108K | — | Buffalo $10K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-4.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $15K | — | Raptors $450 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $9.9K | — | Raptors $607 | — |
| Nets vs. Pelicans same side · consensus Pelicans | Nets $169 | — | Nets $7.3K | — |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-17.5) same side · consensus Central Michigan | Sacramento State $6 | — | Sacramento State $1.6K | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-7.5) same side · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $23 | — | Cavaliers $352 | — |
| Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $178 | — | Under $188 | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) same side · consensus Cavaliers | Knicks $63 | — | Knicks $265 | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-14.5) same side · consensus Bucks | Bucks $150 | — | Bucks $25 | — |
| Campbell Fighting Camels vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneers same side · consensus East Tennessee State Buccaneers | East Tennessee State Buccaneers $96 | — | East Tennessee State Buccaneers $16 | — |
| Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $2 | — | Under $42 | — |