Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465omnibus-076daaprimmUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)58% (4536–3325, n=7861)50% (15546–15616, n=31162)50% (1116–1127, n=2243)50% (20605–20391, n=40996)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.1M$3.6M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #139PM monthly #52PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus64% (14 of 22 open)53% (86 of 163 open)no open consensus position68% (30 of 44 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • MLB +59 pts n=924, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%92% of 11407 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)8% (won 61% of 889)5% (won 94% of 51)7% (won 99% of 2699)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1746)21% (won 87% of 2410)41% (won 99% of 418)20% (won 100% of 7974)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2085)38% (won 95% of 4354)49% (won 99% of 504)22% (won 100% of 8588)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2120)33% (won 99% of 3754)5% (won 100% of 47)52% (won 100% of 20470)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465omnibus-076daaprimmUpTheBlues
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.9K——No $15K
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4KYes $184——
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $16—No $1.1K
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $53KYes $2.4K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.6K—Under $21K
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Rinky Hijikata
same side · consensus Luca Van Assche
Luca Van Assche $20KLuca Van Assche $702——
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $13KOver $37——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $35—Yes $3.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
same side · consensus Under
—Under $34—Under $378
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $55Yes $242——
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $28Yes $26——
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—Yes $36—Yes $2