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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 92% (3728–318, n=4046) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 48% (14139–15621, n=29760) |
| Consensus PnL | $89K | $7.9M | $3.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #624 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #105 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (18 of 27 open) | 82% (23 of 28 open) | 74% (82 of 111 open) | 67% (133 of 199 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 1014 at avg 62¢, ROI +19% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 100% of 78) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 23% (won 100% of 233) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 100% of 297) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 100% of 406) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
16 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $15 | — | — | No $66K |
| Will FC Thun win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | No $9 | — | — | Yes $20K |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2 | — | — | No $10K |
| Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $10 | — | — | Yes $5.9K |
| Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $10 | — | — | No $5.0K |
| Will CA River Plate win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $71 | — | — | No $1.4K |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $8 | Yes $1.0M | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $407K | No $335K | — |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $45 | — | — | Yes $56K |
| Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | No $18 | — | — | No $17K |
| Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $45 | — | — | Yes $10K |
| Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic same side · consensus Filip Misolic | Filip Misolic $15 | — | — | Filip Misolic $8.4K |
| Will AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $19 | — | — | No $6.4K |
| Cali: Carole Monnet vs Leyre Romero Gormaz same side · consensus Carole Monnet | Carole Monnet $45 | — | — | Carole Monnet $6.1K |
| Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg same side · consensus Max Hans Rehberg | Max Hans Rehberg $10 | — | — | Max Hans Rehberg $3.6K |
| Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $29 | — | — | No $2.4K |
| Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $15 | — | — | No $2.3K |
| Cali: Luisina Giovannini vs Bianca Andreescu same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu | Luisina Giovannini $2 | — | — | Luisina Giovannini $1.5K |
| Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $14 | — | — | No $1.4K |
| Will FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes end in a draw? same side · consensus No | Yes $6 | — | — | Yes $699 |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $10 | — | — | No $312 |
| Will PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $5 | — | — | No $262 |