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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026claudionetotraderFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)35% (3649–6671, n=10320)57% (1092–818, n=1910)52% (6524–6030, n=12554)48% (14139–15621, n=29760)
Consensus PnL$3.0M$87K$3.5M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #735PM monthly #728PM monthly #21PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus55% (21 of 38 open)0% (0 of 1 open)74% (236 of 318 open)56% (87 of 154 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won—63% of 1491 at avg 58¢, ROI +3%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 12% of 428)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢—10% (won 37% of 155)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢—14% (won 75% of 214)16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up—47% (won 97% of 694)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

66 on the same side, 46 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026claudionetotraderFlaznorpRN1
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Olympique de Marseille
Bayer 04 Leverkusen $33K—Olympique de Marseille $6.3KBayer 04 Leverkusen $7
Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Casper Ruud
opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud
Jan-Lennard Struff $13K—Casper Ruud $8.1KCasper Ruud $6.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.3K—Under $13KOver $1.5K
Spread: FC Lugano (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Lugano
FK Kauno Žalgiris $208—FC Lugano $1.5KFK Kauno Žalgiris $11
Spread: FC Twente (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Páfos FC
FC Twente $578—Páfos FC $175Páfos FC $22
Cali: Luisina Giovannini vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
Bianca Andreescu $14K—Bianca Andreescu $3.5KBianca Andreescu $5.7K
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $240—Under $12KUnder $11K
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.2K—Under $6.0KUnder $4.3K
Villa Maria: Federico Coria vs Valerio Aboian
same side · consensus Federico Coria
Federico Coria $2.9K—Federico Coria $57Federico Coria $2.7K
Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)
same side · consensus GNK Dinamo Zagreb
GNK Dinamo Zagreb $137—GNK Dinamo Zagreb $824GNK Dinamo Zagreb $164
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $28KNo $9.1K
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $8.6KUnder $5
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg
opposite sides · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
Max Hans Rehberg $7.0K—Daniel Milavsky $173—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.4KYes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $586Over $3.3K
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $155——Under $3.6K
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Sport Lisboa e Benfica $3.5K——KKS Lech Poznań $270
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $2.0KNo $347
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.5KNo $770
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $688Yes $1.4K
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $1.7KUnder $342
Will FC Twente vs. Páfos FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $2.0KYes $8
Spread: FC København (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus SK Iberia 1999
——FC København $987SK Iberia 1999 $862
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 2 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.5KYes $248
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $476Under $1.3K
Panathinaikós AO vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.7K—Under $66—
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 3 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.5KYes $134
Exact Score: AZ 3 - 2 Juventus FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.4KYes $138
FC København vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.5KOver $8
Juventus FC leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $853Yes $544
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $645Over $675
Will PFK CSKA Sofia win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.2KYes $1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $466No $529
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 1 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $673Yes $184
Sport Lisboa e Benfica leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $614No $59
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $184Over $422
M25 Guadalajara: Jesse Flores vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
opposite sides · consensus Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
——Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez $551Jesse Flores $53
Will FC Lugano vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $446Yes $9
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $357Over $91
Costa do Sauipe: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Elmer Moeller
opposite sides · consensus Elmer Moeller
——Elmer Moeller $387Joao Lucas Da Silva $32
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $389Over $10
FC Lugano vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $122Under $234
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $83Yes $267
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov
——Julio Cesar Porras $60Ivan Gakhov $238
Exact Score: AZ 2 - 1 Juventus FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $190Yes $11
W50 Huamantla: Victoria Rodriguez vs Maria Sholokhova
opposite sides · consensus Maria Sholokhova
——Maria Sholokhova $4Victoria Rodriguez $173
W75 Petange: Isis Louise Van den Broek vs Anna Siskova
opposite sides · consensus Isis Louise Van den Broek
——Anna Siskova $60Isis Louise Van den Broek $88
Panathinaikós AO vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $31Under $25