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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
1nvoker1BreakTheBanke46m3
Record (consensus markets)no settled market95% (310–15, n=325)17% (156–789, n=945)
Consensus PnL$3.6K$8.4M$536K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #999PM monthly #1PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus59% (36 of 61 open)84% (32 of 38 open)74% (321 of 436 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Crypto +45 pts n=124, ROI +67%
  • Soccer +16 pts n=1174, ROI +26%
  • NBA +14 pts n=146, ROI +19%
Weakest topicCrypto −8 pts, n=22—NFL −6 pts, n=17
Settled positions, side won48% of 571 at avg 45¢, ROI −1%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%62% of 5804 at avg 54¢, ROI +30%
Entries under 30¢43% (won 5% of 246)10% (won 82% of 60)38% (won 18% of 2197)
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 38% of 55)36% (won 98% of 212)7% (won 53% of 397)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 75% of 69)35% (won 100% of 205)9% (won 71% of 531)
Entries 70¢ and up35% (won 94% of 201)20% (won 100% of 116)46% (won 97% of 2679)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market1nvoker1BreakTheBanke46m3
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $425KYes $11
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $28KYes $108
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.4KYes $318
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.6K—Yes $60
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $259—No $31
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $306KYes $108
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $27KYes $10
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $19KYes $369
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $13KYes $12
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $4.6KYes $512
Will Ipswich Town win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $200Yes $4
Will Fulham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $200Yes $3
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $49Yes $40
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus No
Yes $39—Yes $6