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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
1nvoker1BreakTheBanke46m3Hauchn
Record (consensus markets)no settled market96% (291–13, n=304)17% (155–752, n=907)no settled market
Consensus PnL$3.5K$8.4M$536K$113K
Tracked asPM monthly #978PM monthly #1PM monthly #2PM monthly #144
Sides with the consensus56% (35 of 62 open)79% (31 of 39 open)73% (313 of 426 open)47% (7 of 15 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topic——Tech ±0 pts, n=36—
Settled positions, side won—95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%93% of 626 at avg 90¢, ROI +2%—
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 69% of 36)7% (won 11% of 46)—
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 97% of 116)1% (won 86% of 7)—
Entries 50–70¢—37% (won 99% of 124)1% (won 75% of 8)—
Entries 70¢ and up—17% (won 100% of 56)90% (won 100% of 565)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market1nvoker1BreakTheBanke46m3Hauchn
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $425KYes $11—
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $28KYes $108—
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $1.4KYes $3.8K
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.4KYes $318—
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $2.1KYes $123
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.2K—Yes $61—
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $216No $291
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $346—No $27—
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $100No $227
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $306KYes $108—
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $27KYes $10—
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $2.1KNo $23K
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $19KYes $369—
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $13KYes $12—
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $4.6KYes $512—
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $747Yes $3.0K
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $23Yes $1.1K
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $279Yes $10
Will Ipswich Town win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $200Yes $4—
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $49Yes $40—
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus No
Yes $39—Yes $6—