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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
20YrsOfBoredomBreakTheBankomnibus-076daaRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (553–663, n=1216)50% (15020–15050, n=30070)47% (13346–14851, n=28197)
Consensus PnL—$11.2M$3.0M$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #56PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position55% (21 of 38 open)63% (92 of 146 open)57% (21 of 37 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%92% of 11470 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 81% of 57)8% (won 60% of 899)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 98% of 201)21% (won 87% of 2444)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 99% of 196)39% (won 95% of 4418)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up—19% (won 100% of 109)32% (won 99% of 3709)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market20YrsOfBoredomBreakTheBankomnibus-076daaRN1
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $17KYes $2.2K—
Chennai Open: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Polina Kudermetova
opposite sides · consensus Polina Kudermetova
——Oksana Selekhmeteva $6.4KPolina Kudermetova $2.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KOver $943
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $840Yes $149—
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $73No $662
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $22KYes $117—
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $17KYes $1.7K—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $15KYes $215—
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.6KYes $69—
Rolex Paris Masters: Quentin Halys vs Frances Tiafoe
same side · consensus Frances Tiafoe
——Quentin Halys $262Quentin Halys $1.2K
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.0KYes $59—
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
——No $236No $115
Bratislava 2: Vitaliy Sachko vs Otto Virtanen
same side · consensus Otto Virtanen
——Otto Virtanen $3Otto Virtanen $105
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $28Yes $41—
W50 Heraklion: Deborah Chiesa vs Sarah Van Emst
same side · consensus Deborah Chiesa
——Deborah Chiesa $19Deborah Chiesa $17