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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AlphaBetaGamma2357BreakTheBankRN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)51% (437–423, n=860)41% (589–853, n=1442)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL$93K$7.7M$14.8M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #620PM monthly #1PM monthly #30 + pinnedPM monthly #73
Sides with the consensus50% (11 of 22 open)76% (41 of 54 open)55% (76 of 137 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicMLB −18 pts, n=23——Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won49% of 840 at avg 49¢, ROI +4%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 16% of 141)10% (won 82% of 60)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢40% (won 39% of 339)36% (won 98% of 212)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 59% of 203)35% (won 100% of 205)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 87% of 157)20% (won 100% of 116)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAlphaBetaGamma2357BreakTheBankRN1S-Works
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Eagles $1.0KGiants $37KEagles $8.7K—
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $179KCowboys $1.9K—
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $124KCowboys $4.9K—
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $101KCowboys $1.4K—
Spread: Giants (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Giants $67KEagles $20—
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $8.6KNo $28K——
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
—Giants $11KEagles $1.5K—
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $182KNo $4.7K—
Spread: Chiefs (-8.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $18KChiefs $1.2K—
Spread: Rams (-4.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
—Rams $13KRams $2.6K—