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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AlphaBetaGamma2357 | BreakTheBank | primm | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 51% (437–423, n=860) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 50% (1246–1260, n=2506) | 75% (2542–853, n=3395) |
| Consensus PnL | $93K | $7.7M | $3.6M | $3.7M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #620 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #49 | PM monthly #73 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (11 of 22 open) | 76% (41 of 54 open) | 57% (21 of 37 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | MLB −18 pts, n=23 | — | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 49% of 840 at avg 49¢, ROI +4% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 16% of 141) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 40% (won 39% of 339) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 59% of 203) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 87% of 157) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AlphaBetaGamma2357 | BreakTheBank | primm | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $208K | Over $6.8K | — |
| Giants vs. Eagles opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | Giants $134K | Eagles $5.7K | — |
| Spread: Giants (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | — | Giants $68K | Eagles $129 | — |
| Spread: Giants (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Eagles $1.0K | Giants $37K | — | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $8.6K | No $28K | — | — |
| Spread: Giants (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Giants | — | Giants $11K | Eagles $3.4K | — |
| Cowboys vs. Colts same side · consensus Cowboys | — | Colts $124K | Colts $5.7K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) same side · consensus Colts | — | Colts $101K | Colts $94 | — |