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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| Aurelius7 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (286–325, n=611) | 50% (1246–1260, n=2506) | 48% (17933–19364, n=37297) |
| Consensus PnL | -$8.4K | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #950 | PM monthly #49 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (8 of 11 open) | 61% (23 of 38 open) | 57% (87 of 153 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Elections −2 pts, n=60 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 66% of 404 at avg 49¢, ROI +8% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 16% (won 16% of 64) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 39% of 64) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 62% (won 83% of 250) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 6% (won 96% of 26) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
10 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Aurelius7 | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $311 | Under $1.6K | Under $1.3K |
| Cowboys vs. Colts opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Colts $5.7K | Cowboys $4.1K |
| Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $6.8K | Over $1.2K |
| Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $5.6K | Under $1.8K |
| Browns vs. Saints: O/U 40.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.3K | Over $1.9K |
| Lions vs. Dolphins: O/U 48.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $4.8K | Over $186 |
| Browns vs. Saints: O/U 42.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $4.5K | Over $64 |
| Spread: Rams (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $144 | Rams $3.5K |
| Spread: Saints (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | — | Saints $50 | Browns $3.5K |
| Spread: Lions (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Dolphins | — | Lions $2.0K | Dolphins $1.6K |
| Spread: Saints (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | — | Saints $958 | Browns $1.8K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Colts | — | Colts $100 | Cowboys $1.3K |
| Spread: Lions (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Lions | — | Dolphins $267 | Lions $744 |
| Lions vs. Dolphins same side · consensus Lions | — | Lions $47K | Lions $2.1K |
| Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $5.5K | Under $5.8K |
| Spread: Giants (-3.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Eagles $926 | — | Eagles $6.8K |
| Spread: Lions (-5.5) same side · consensus Lions | — | Lions $3.2K | Lions $2.5K |
| Spread: Giants (-5.5) same side · consensus Eagles | — | Eagles $183 | Eagles $3.0K |
| Spread: Lions (-14.5) same side · consensus Dolphins | — | Dolphins $1.6K | Dolphins $3 |
| Spread: Rams (-6.5) same side · consensus Commanders | — | Commanders $745 | Commanders $579 |
| Spread: Saints (-7.5) same side · consensus Browns | — | Saints $16 | Saints $677 |
| Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 46.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $9 | Over $14 |