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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ChonkVision | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 57% (235–177, n=412) | 52% (6434–6029, n=12463) | 48% (14148–15609, n=29757) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $505K | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #78 | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 40% (2 of 5 open) | 75% (204 of 271 open) | 55% (49 of 89 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | NHL −2 pts, n=106 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 58% of 396 at avg 55¢, ROI +8% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 1% (won 0% of 3) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 29% (won 51% of 113) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 64% (won 59% of 255) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 6% (won 88% of 25) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
31 on the same side, 26 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ChonkVision | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $13K | Over $1.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $4.5K | Yes $1.9K |
| Will FC Energie Cottbus win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $4.9K | Yes $463 |
| HUS Agadir vs. RS Berkane: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $3.7K | Over $777 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $613 | Over $3.3K |
| Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri opposite sides · consensus Juan Bautista Torres | — | — | Genaro Alberto Olivieri $1.8K | Juan Bautista Torres $1.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $3.1K | Yes $7 |
| Will Hammarby IF win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $2.5K | Yes $108 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 |
| Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Julia Riera opposite sides · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz | — | — | Leyre Romero Gormaz $682 | Julia Riera $1.1K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $475 | Under $1.3K |
| Costa do Sauipe: Juan Carlos Prado vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli opposite sides · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli | — | — | Camilo Ugo Carabelli $1.4K | Juan Carlos Prado $268 |
| SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $110 | Over $1.2K |
| Silkeborg IF vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $960 | Under $111 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $471 | No $529 |
| AS Nancy-Lorraine vs. FC Sochaux-Montbéliard: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $614 | Over $42 |
| FC Argeș Pitești vs. Dinamo 1948: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $140 | Under $473 |
| Exact Score: FC Argeș Pitești 1 - 0 Dinamo 1948? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $152 | No $458 |
| Silkeborg IF vs. Lyngby BK: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $510 | Under $86 |
| Bratislava 2: Kimmer Coppejans vs Jurij Rodionov opposite sides · consensus Jurij Rodionov | — | — | Jurij Rodionov $52 | Kimmer Coppejans $419 |
| Will FC Viktoria Cologne win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $414 | No $5 |
| Spread: FC Energie Cottbus (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Eintracht Braunschweig | — | — | Eintracht Braunschweig $329 | FC Energie Cottbus $21 |
| Spread: 76ers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | — | — | 76ers $188 | Cavaliers $108 |
| Will Willem II Tilburg vs. PEC Zwolle end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $166 | No $74 |
| Will Heracles Almelo win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $165 | Yes $31 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $31 | No $12 |
| Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $13K | No $13K |
| Will Standard Liege win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $10K | Yes $8.6K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $14K | No $2.5K |
| Will AS Nancy-Lorraine win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $2.9K | Yes $10K |
| Will US Boulogne Côte d'Opale win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $1.2K | No $6.5K |
| Will SG Dynamo Dresden win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $3.0K | Yes $4.1K |
| Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $2.2K | No $4.2K |
| Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $3.8K | No $2.1K |
| Standard Liege vs. SK Beveren: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $3.3K | Over $1.8K |
| Eintracht Braunschweig vs. FC Energie Cottbus: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $4.2K | Under $133 |
| SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $852 | Over $1.9K |
| Eintracht Braunschweig vs. FC Energie Cottbus: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.4K | Under $444 |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K |
| Sariyer SK leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $942 | No $814 |
| Eintracht Braunschweig vs. FC Energie Cottbus: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $383 | Over $1.2K |
| Spread: SG Dynamo Dresden (-3.5) same side · consensus SG Dynamo Dresden | — | — | SG Dynamo Dresden $1.2K | SG Dynamo Dresden $10 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $104 | Under $1.1K |
| Will Cambridge United FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $754 | Yes $303 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $702 | Under $20 |
| SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | — | No $555 | No $163 |
| Will Silkeborg IF win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $537 | No $172 |
| SK Rapid leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $585 | Yes $11 |
| Eintracht Braunschweig vs. FC Energie Cottbus: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $366 | Under $196 |
| Spread: Spurs (-15.5) same side · consensus Kings | — | — | Kings $357 | Kings $110 |