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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpGC-Pndb1
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–667, n=1227)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)46% (1169–1346, n=2515)65% (889–469, n=1358)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$3.3M-$4.9K$4.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #17PM monthly #611PM monthly #140
Sides with the consensus60% (15 of 25 open)66% (278 of 421 open)75% (100 of 134 open)73% (33 of 45 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%—64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)—13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)—20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)—24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)—43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

56 on the same side, 32 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpGC-Pndb1
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $327KYes $133KNo $1.2K—
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $64KYes $117KYes $5.3K—
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $651KNo $40KNo $6.2K—
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $3.2KNo $46KNo $1.8K—
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $102KNo $46—
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $48KNo $2.2K—
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $14KNo $360—
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $14KNo $22—
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $13KYes $405—
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils
—Arthur Fils $5.6KTomas Machac $127—
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2.4KOver $2.1K—
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 2 Arsenal FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2.6KNo $1.2K—
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.2KNo $1.0K—
FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.7KUnder $286—
Exact Score: RB Leipzig 2 - 3 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.3KNo $169—
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1 - 0 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.0KNo $143—
Exact Score: FC Porto 1 - 1 SSC Napoli?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $918No $135—
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 1 - 2 Arsenal FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $978No $27—
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $686No $292—
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $644No $235—
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 0 Arsenal FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $36No $747—
Exact Score: Racing Club de Lens 2 - 3 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $125No $445—
Exact Score: RB Leipzig 3 - 2 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $380No $149—
Exact Score: Viking FK 1 - 2 Sabah FK?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $58No $218—
Exact Score: RB Leipzig 2 - 1 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $189No $81—
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 2 - 3 Arsenal FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $36No $214—
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $3Yes $193—
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $60Yes $73—
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $13Under $117—
Exact Score: FC Porto 1 - 3 SSC Napoli?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $51No $76—
Exact Score: Racing Club de Lens 1 - 2 Como 1907?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2No $98—
Exact Score: FC Porto 3 - 0 SSC Napoli?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $39No $29—
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $23Yes $21—
Exact Score: PSV 2 - 0 Club Brugge KV?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1No $13—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $765K—No $22—
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?
same side · consensus No
—No $101KNo $1.7K—
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $41KNo $990—
Will SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $30KNo $1.6K—
Will RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $30KNo $492—
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $25KNo $1.3K—
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $23KUnder $489—
Will Sabah FK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $18KNo $1.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13KUnder $1.3K—
Will PSV vs. Club Brugge KV end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $10KNo $664—
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
—No $7.3KNo $437—
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.2KNo $1.5K—
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $6.9KCeltics $215——
Will Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.3KNo $584—
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $5.2KYes $14—
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.3KNo $29—