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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1ryou999
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)52% (6608–6142, n=12750)47% (14228–15728, n=29956)35% (15–28, n=43)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.6M$14.8M$44K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #10PM monthly #30 + pinnedPM monthly #533
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)75% (85 of 113 open)45% (10 of 22 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%38% of 40 at avg 38¢, ROI +9%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)50% (won 5% of 20)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)23% (won 56% of 9)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)23% (won 78% of 9)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)5% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1ryou999
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Claire Liu
opposite sides · consensus Claire Liu
—Claire Liu $17KZeynep Sonmez $3.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4KYes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586Over $3.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476Under $1.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $466No $529—
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
—Diletta Cherubini $282Ipek Oz $680—
Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Alexandre Muller
same side · consensus Yosuke Watanuki
—Yosuke Watanuki $6.9KYosuke Watanuki $20K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $139Yes $192—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176Under $42—