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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighS-Works
Record (consensus markets)95% (310–15, n=325)49% (33–34, n=67)42% (44–60, n=104)67% (4–2, n=6)
Consensus PnL$8.4M$35K$118K-$82K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #14PM monthly #41PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus84% (32 of 38 open)70% (176 of 253 open)62% (16 of 26 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • NBA +52 pts n=428, ROI +51%
  • NHL +44 pts n=75, ROI +43%
  • Tennis +43 pts n=87, ROI +48%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic—NFL −24 pts, n=12—Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%100% of 691 at avg 51¢, ROI +48%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)30% (won 9% of 919)2% (won 100% of 16)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)15% (won 37% of 455)49% (won 100% of 338)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)14% (won 63% of 439)40% (won 100% of 278)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)42% (won 94% of 1302)9% (won 100% of 59)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighS-Works
Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Pacers $128Mavericks $10K—
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Rockets $126Nuggets $4.4K—
Pacers vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $3Over $2.3K—
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris
—Billy Harris $1.7KLiam Broady $248—
Kristiansund BK vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.1KOver $47—
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $333Hawks $339—
Will Berkhamsted FC win on 2026-11-09?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $100Yes $19—
Bills vs. Vikings
same side · consensus Bills
Bills $217KBills $77——
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-11-09?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.1KNo $84—
Will CE Sabadell FC win on 2026-11-09?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.4KNo $42—
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $204Lakers $1.1K—
CE Sabadell FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $894Under $79—
Grizzlies vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2Over $229—