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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankGetsOnBasendb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)100% (3–0, n=3)63% (1095–632, n=1727)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$80K$4.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #179PM monthly #111PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus79% (46 of 58 open)100% (2 of 2 open)72% (73 of 101 open)54% (59 of 110 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 2 at avg 47¢, ROI +60%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)0%13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)50% (won 100% of 1)19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)50% (won 100% of 1)23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)0%44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankGetsOnBasendb1RN1
Texans vs. Chargers
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $256K——Texans $5.3K
Giants vs. Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $190K——Eagles $11K
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $179K——Cowboys $1.4K
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $142K——76ers $734
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $87K——Texans $1.6K
Spread: Giants (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $67K——Eagles $135
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $16K——No $17K
Spread: CF Universidad de Chile (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus CF Universidad de Chile
—CF Universidad de Chile $18K—CD Cobresal $3.5K
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $11K——Eagles $210
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $400——76ers $155
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $421K—No $346K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $306K—Yes $12K—
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $208K——Under $4.5K
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Giants $68K——Giants $8.8K
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $24K——Colts $8.6K
76ers vs. Bulls
same side · consensus 76ers
Bulls $14K——Bulls $62
Spread: Saints (-5.5)
same side · consensus Browns
Browns $6.3K——Browns $311