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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankPan9XprimmUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)45% (572–710, n=1282)65% (4155–2192, n=6347)50% (1105–1116, n=2221)50% (20844–20530, n=41374)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$21K$3.6M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #2was PM monthly #983PM monthly #48PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus79% (26 of 33 open)58% (93 of 159 open)50% (5 of 10 open)70% (31 of 44 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 1166 at avg 72¢, ROI +25%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 100% of 41)5% (won 94% of 51)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)13% (won 100% of 154)41% (won 99% of 412)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)26% (won 100% of 300)50% (won 99% of 503)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)58% (won 100% of 671)5% (won 100% of 47)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankPan9XprimmUpTheBlues
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $837Jaguars $61Ravens $4—
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Ravens $292KJaguars $218——
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $194KJaguars $17——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $52—Under $7.6K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $73—No $3.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $80—No $2.7K
Spread: James Madison (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss
—Southern Miss $61James Madison $2.2K—
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $30Under $1.8K—
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Warriors $1.7KHeat $8——
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 71.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $94Under $1.5K—
Spread: UTSA (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
—UTSA $36Florida Atlantic $1.1K—
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 59.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $77Over $698—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $154—Under $595
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 57.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $15Under $599—
Spread: UTSA (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
—UTSA $24Florida Atlantic $586—
Spread: James Madison (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss
—Southern Miss $3James Madison $450—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $13—Under $378
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1 - 0 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $30—Yes $71
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $92KRavens $14——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $53—Under $21K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $252—No $15K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $85—Under $5.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $105—Under $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $2—Under $1.4K
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3KOver $16——
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Athletic Club $116—Athletic Club $354
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $60—Under $64