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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBanke46m3Flaznorpjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–667, n=1227)74% (11407–3919, n=15326)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)53% (10–9, n=19)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$925K$3.3M$5.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #3PM monthly #17PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus60% (15 of 25 open)76% (440 of 580 open)66% (281 of 426 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Crypto +44 pts n=106, ROI +69%
  • Soccer +16 pts n=1123, ROI +27%
  • MLB +19 pts n=52, ROI +21%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—NFL −6 pts, n=17Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%62% of 5423 at avg 55¢, ROI +29%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)38% (won 19% of 2052)29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)7% (won 53% of 368)16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)9% (won 72% of 497)17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)46% (won 97% of 2506)38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBanke46m3Flaznorpjoseph00677
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $6.9KCeltics $15Celtics $215—
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $64K—Yes $117K—
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $5.0KNo $14K—
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.7KYes $2.5K—
Exact Score: Al Ahli Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Taawoun Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $23No $781—
Will SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. PSV end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $134No $468—
Exact Score: Abha Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Shabab Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $160No $83—
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $651K—No $40K—
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $3.2K—No $43K—
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.8KNo $38K—
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $287Over $30K—
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.2KNo $12K—
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $140No $4.3K—
Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?
same side · consensus No
—No $83No $2.1K—
76ers vs. Pistons
same side · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $6Pistons $1.6K—
Spread: Shahdag Qusar FK (-2.5)
same side · consensus Energetik Mingechevir
—Energetik Mingechevir $8Energetik Mingechevir $396—
CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $217Over $52—
Cardiff City FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $63Over $85—
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $37No $89—