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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBanke46m3ndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)63% (10870–6276, n=17146)63% (989–572, n=1561)50% (1105–1117, n=2222)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$680K$3.2M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #1PM monthly #104PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensus78% (25 of 32 open)62% (310 of 502 open)69% (61 of 88 open)100% (3 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Crypto +44 pts n=106, ROI +69%
  • Soccer +16 pts n=1123, ROI +27%
  • MLB +19 pts n=52, ROI +21%
Weakest topic—NFL −6 pts, n=17NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%62% of 5423 at avg 55¢, ROI +29%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)38% (won 19% of 2052)13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)7% (won 53% of 368)20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 412)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)9% (won 72% of 497)24% (won 58% of 314)50% (won 99% of 503)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)46% (won 97% of 2506)43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBanke46m3ndb1primm
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $407KYes $17No $335K—
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $12KYes $68——
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.4KYes $309——
Will LSU Tigers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $18Yes $534—
Will Luka Doncic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $5No $40—
Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $8No $13—
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1—Yes $1.0M—
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $22KYes $8——
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $16KYes $309——
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $13KYes $12——
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $13KYes $6——
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $97Yes $10K—
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3.3KYes $524——
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $50Yes $40——