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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankfekefeeferrariChampions2026ndb1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)50% (37–37, n=74)44% (11385–14473, n=25858)63% (1095–632, n=1727)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$6.7K-$8.8M$4.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #898was PM monthly #87PM monthly #114
Sides with the consensus77% (46 of 60 open)no open consensus position59% (49 of 83 open)72% (73 of 101 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • NBA +42 pts n=36, ROI +44%
Weakest topic———NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%92% of 39 at avg 50¢, ROI +44%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)0%4% (won 97% of 237)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)54% (won 90% of 21)26% (won 100% of 1446)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)46% (won 94% of 18)40% (won 100% of 2198)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)0%30% (won 100% of 1675)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankfekefeeferrariChampions2026ndb1
Texans vs. Chargers
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $419K—Texans $35K—
Giants vs. Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $190K—Eagles $60K—
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $208K—Over $19K—
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $179K—Cowboys $6.9K—
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $121K—Texans $32K—
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $101K—Cowboys $151—
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $68K—Eagles $53—
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Colts $49K—Cowboys $18K—
Packers vs. Patriots
opposite sides · consensus Patriots
Packers $13K—Patriots $26K—
Spread: Rams (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
Rams $13K—Commanders $14K—
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $11K—Eagles $195—
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Patriots
Packers $229—Patriots $10K—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $421K——No $346K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $306K——Yes $12K
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
Bulls $142K—Bulls $11K—
Spread: Giants (-4.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Giants $67K—Giants $61—
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Giants $37K—Giants $8.0K—
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $24K—Colts $8.8K—
Spread: Texans (-4.5)
same side · consensus Chargers
Chargers $4.7K—Chargers $6—