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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026jodarprimm
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)44% (11385–14473, n=25858)62% (24–15, n=39)50% (1246–1260, n=2506)
Consensus PnL$7.7M-$8.8M$44K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #694PM monthly #48
Sides with the consensus83% (44 of 53 open)61% (35 of 57 open)100% (1 of 1 open)62% (8 of 13 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%96% of 25 at avg 58¢, ROI +34%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)0%5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)44% (won 91% of 11)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)24% (won 100% of 6)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)32% (won 100% of 8)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026jodarprimm
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $101KCowboys $125—Colts $94
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Colts $49K—Cowboys $9.4KColts $5.7K
Texans vs. Chargers
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $275KTexans $41K——
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $179KCowboys $6.9K——
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Patriots
Packers $134KPatriots $10K——
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Chargers $92KTexans $44K——
Packers vs. Patriots
opposite sides · consensus Patriots
Packers $104KPatriots $26K——
Raiders vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $13KUnder $12K——
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.1K—Under $4.6K
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $26—Under $3.3K
Spread: Saints (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Browns $2.7K—Saints $16
Cowboys vs. Colts: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $597—Under $97
Spread: Cowboys (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $332—Colts $76
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
Bulls $142KBulls $11K——
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $121KSeahawks $30K——
Raiders vs. 49ers
same side · consensus 49ers
—49ers $28K—49ers $60K
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $24KColts $8.8K——
Spread: Texans (-4.5)
same side · consensus Chargers
Chargers $3.7KChargers $5——