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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankjoseph00677RN1whosay
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)43% (10–13, n=23)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)59% (1247–851, n=2098)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$3.3M$14.8M-$33K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #8PM monthly #31 + pinnedPM monthly #767
Sides with the consensus77% (47 of 61 open)no open consensus position60% (87 of 146 open)75% (6 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic———Tennis −3 pts, n=741
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%59% of 2333 at avg 60¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2594)11% (won 18% of 251)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5704)26% (won 36% of 603)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9204)28% (won 58% of 653)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8622)35% (won 88% of 826)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankjoseph00677RN1whosay
Giants vs. Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $190K—Eagles $11K—
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $147K—76ers $371—
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $115K—No $2.9K—
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $101K—Cowboys $2.7K—
Spread: Giants (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $67K—Eagles $329—
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $16K—No $15K—
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $11K—Eagles $152—
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $459—76ers $155—
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $208K—Under $4.5K—
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Giants $68K—Giants $8.9K—
Spread: Chiefs (-9.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $21K—Chiefs $11K—
Spread: Chiefs (-8.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $18K—Chiefs $1.6K—
76ers vs. Bulls
same side · consensus 76ers
Bulls $16K—Bulls $88—
Spread: Saints (-5.5)
same side · consensus Browns
Browns $6.3K—Browns $310—