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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankprimmreykreykRN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)50% (1244–1255, n=2499)59% (13–9, n=22)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$3.6M$19K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #56was PM monthly #977PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensus80% (40 of 50 open)65% (11 of 17 open)no open consensus position57% (65 of 114 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%100% of 14 at avg 47¢, ROI +55%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)5% (won 94% of 51)7% (won 100% of 1)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)41% (won 99% of 421)50% (won 100% of 7)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)49% (won 99% of 508)36% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)5% (won 100% of 47)7% (won 100% of 1)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankprimmreykreykRN1
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $219KOver $9.7K—Over $1.1K
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Colts $114KColts $5.1K—Cowboys $1.4K
Giants vs. Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $182KEagles $713——
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $166K——Cowboys $1.0K
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $106KEagles $75——
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $63K——Eagles $3.9K
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $22K——Cowboys $116
Spread: Lions (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
—Lions $11K—Dolphins $2.3K
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $632K——No $55K
Lions vs. Dolphins
same side · consensus Lions
—Lions $47K—Lions $2.1K
Spread: Chiefs (-9.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $21K——Chiefs $1.0K
Spread: Rams (-4.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
Rams $19K——Rams $346
Spread: Lions (-6.5)
same side · consensus Lions
—Lions $3.2K—Lions $1.4K
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $839—Under $3.4K