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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
CannaeRN1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)52% (5933–5582, n=11515)48% (12778–13831, n=26609)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$1.2M$13.4M$4.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #970 + pinnedPM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus42% (33 of 79 open)60% (79 of 132 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • MLB +50 pts n=62, ROI +53%
  • NBA +44 pts n=316, ROI +40%
  • NHL +43 pts n=101, ROI +44%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won100% of 8672 at avg 61¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 99% of 778)10% (won 56% of 2534)0%
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 100% of 1843)22% (won 94% of 5497)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 100% of 2554)36% (won 99% of 8897)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 100% of 3497)31% (won 100% of 7736)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketCannaeRN1sainttroplay
Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $2.0KYes $3.3K—
Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.6KOver $2.8K—
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $313No $1.9K—
Will FC Arouca win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $539Yes $119—
Will FC Lugano win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $9Yes $335—
Spread: Real Racing Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Real Madrid CF
Real Racing Club $4Real Madrid CF $210—
US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $146Over $46—
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arsenal FC
Arsenal FC $110Liverpool FC $51—
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Real Madrid CF
Real Racing Club $88Real Madrid CF $18—
Will FK Austria Wien win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $70Yes $3—
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $42Yes $23—
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Liverpool FC
Arsenal FC $2Liverpool FC $39—
Will CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $7Yes $28—
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Angers SCO: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1Under $6—
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $9.1KOver $17K—
Will Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $9.2KNo $6.0K—
Will Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $1.6KNo $13K—
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $3.8KNo $8.8K—
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-31?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.2KYes $8.8K—
Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-1.5)
same side · consensus Eintracht Frankfurt
Hamburger SV $945Hamburger SV $8.6K—
Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $72No $1.5K—
Will Asteras Tripolis win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $47No $593—
Will CF Universidad de Chile win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $22No $190—
Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
No $149No $17—
Will SK Rapid win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $18No $19—
Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $14Under $14—