Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpbeachboy4BreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)51% (4636–4375, n=9011)68% (43–20, n=63)45% (542–652, n=1194)47% (13868–15346, n=29214)
Consensus PnL$1.1M$5.8M$10.6M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #13was PM monthly #24PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus61% (72 of 118 open)100% (2 of 2 open)90% (149 of 165 open)88% (14 of 16 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +21 pts n=17, ROI +31%
  • NHL +14 pts n=19, ROI +12%
  • Tennis +18 pts n=14, ROI +25%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=93——
Settled positions, side won52% of 492 at avg 50¢, ROI +32%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 12% of 147)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 82% of 56)10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 41% of 95)30% (won 57% of 63)36% (won 98% of 198)22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢20% (won 60% of 99)54% (won 51% of 115)35% (won 99% of 191)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 91% of 151)14% (won 86% of 29)19% (won 100% of 107)32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpbeachboy4BreakTheBankRN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar
opposite sides · consensus Rafael Jodar
Rafael Jodar $14K——Alejandro Tabilo $59
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.6K——No $7.7K
FC Lorient vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $14——Under $4.8K
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Mariano Navone
opposite sides · consensus Luca Van Assche
Luca Van Assche $2.5K——Mariano Navone $996
Kayserispor vs. Muglaspor: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $280——Yes $179
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $20——Over $124
Will CD Leganés win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus No
No $2.5K——No $11K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Xinyu Wang vs Adithya Karunaratne
same side · consensus Xinyu Wang
Xinyu Wang $3.8K——Xinyu Wang $1.8K
Luanda: Jahnie Van Zyl vs Yasmine Kabbaj
same side · consensus Yasmine Kabbaj
Yasmine Kabbaj $400——Yasmine Kabbaj $3.8K
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus No
No $2.6K——No $23
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $2.4K——No $32
Chonburi FC vs. BG Pathum United: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $927——Under $276
Chonburi FC vs. BG Pathum United: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $152——Under $98
Will CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $112——No $14