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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677RN1soapbubbles
Record (consensus markets)52% (6582–6102, n=12684)45% (10–12, n=22)47% (14184–15686, n=29870)65% (28–15, n=43)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$5.3M$14.8M$29K
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #2PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #738
Sides with the consensus77% (98 of 127 open)no open consensus position43% (12 of 28 open)90% (9 of 10 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%89% of 27 at avg 68¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2593)7% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5682)33% (won 100% of 9)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9181)4% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8519)56% (won 93% of 15)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677RN1soapbubbles
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K—
Spread: Warriors (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $4.9K—Warriors $5—
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
Warriors $4.1K—Heat $162—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $586—Over $3.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476—Under $1.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $466—No $529—
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
Diletta Cherubini $281—Ipek Oz $698—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5K—
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Warriors $7.5K—Warriors $380—
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
Warriors $4.4K—Warriors $93—
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Under $453—
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 236.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.7K—Under $384—
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Warriors $1.9K—Warriors $85—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $139—Yes $192—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $176—Under $42—