← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | ndb1 | rainbowlilies | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6434–6029, n=12463) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 42% (2932–4051, n=6983) | 48% (14148–15609, n=29757) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.6M | $4.8M | $156K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #605 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 77% (212 of 276 open) | 71% (52 of 73 open) | 64% (130 of 202 open) | 59% (54 of 92 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | Soccer −1 pts, n=547 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 7% of 6090 at avg 5¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 97% (won 5% of 5884) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 2% (won 36% of 107) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 1% (won 69% of 61) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 1% (won 84% of 38) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
46 on the same side, 27 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | ndb1 | rainbowlilies | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | — | Over $1.6K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz | Carlos Alcaraz $5.7K | — | — | Taylor Fritz $2.1K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.5K | — | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $613 | — | — | Over $3.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | — | Over $36 |
| Will FC Energie Cottbus win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.0K | — | — | Yes $384 |
| Sariyer SK vs. Igdir FK: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $1.4K | — | — | Under $859 |
| Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri opposite sides · consensus Genaro Alberto Olivieri | Genaro Alberto Olivieri $808 | — | — | Juan Bautista Torres $1.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $475 | — | — | Under $1.3K |
| SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $486 | — | — | Over $1.2K |
| Will LKP Motor Lublin vs. Wisla Plock end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $480 | — | — | No $1.1K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $471 | — | — | No $529 |
| W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini | Diletta Cherubini $268 | — | — | Ipek Oz $680 |
| Sariyer SK vs. Igdir FK: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $332 | — | — | Under $466 |
| Will HUS Agadir win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $723 | — | — | No $20 |
| LKP Motor Lublin vs. Wisla Plock: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $248 | — | — | Over $222 |
| Bratislava 2: Kimmer Coppejans vs Jurij Rodionov opposite sides · consensus Jurij Rodionov | Jurij Rodionov $36 | — | — | Kimmer Coppejans $419 |
| NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs. NK Rudeš: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $348 | — | — | Under $81 |
| Will FC Viktoria Cologne win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $414 | — | — | No $5 |
| Costa do Sauipe: Juan Carlos Prado vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli opposite sides · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Camilo Ugo Carabelli $93 | — | — | Juan Carlos Prado $268 |
| Will NK Lokomotiva Zagreb win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $322 | — | — | No $24 |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | Celtics $225 | — | — | Hornets $116 |
| Spread: 76ers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | 76ers $188 | — | — | Cavaliers $108 |
| Gaziantep FK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $140 | — | — | Under $5 |
| Spread: FC Energie Cottbus (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Eintracht Braunschweig | Eintracht Braunschweig $58 | — | — | FC Energie Cottbus $21 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $31 | — | — | No $12 |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $81K | No $760 | — |
| Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | — | No $22K |
| Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | No $5.0K | — | — | No $15K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | — | No $2.5K |
| Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Lucrezia Stefanini same side · consensus Anastasia Zakharova | Anastasia Zakharova $5.0K | — | — | Anastasia Zakharova $12K |
| Will AS Nancy-Lorraine win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.9K | — | — | Yes $10K |
| Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | No $2.1K | — | — | No $5.6K |
| Antalyaspor vs. Bursaspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $1.5K | — | — | Over $5.9K |
| Will US Boulogne Côte d'Opale win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | No $953 | — | — | No $6.5K |
| Will SG Dynamo Dresden win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.5K | — | — | Yes $4.1K |
| Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | No $2.1K | — | — | No $4.2K |
| Will Wisla Plock win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | No $2.6K | — | — | No $2.3K |
| Will Wolfsberger AC win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | No $1.9K | — | — | No $2.7K |
| NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs. NK Rudeš: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $1.5K | — | — | Over $676 |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111 | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K |
| Sariyer SK leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | No $942 | — | — | No $814 |
| Eintracht Braunschweig vs. FC Energie Cottbus: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.2K | — | — | Under $444 |
| Eintracht Braunschweig vs. FC Energie Cottbus: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $383 | — | — | Over $1.2K |
| Hammarby IF vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $209 | — | — | Over $1.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $104 | — | — | Under $1.1K |
| Will Dinamo 1948 win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | No $1.2K | — | — | No $22 |
| Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Julia Riera same side · consensus Julia Riera | Julia Riera $64 | — | — | Julia Riera $1.1K |
| Spread: Antalyaspor (-1.5) same side · consensus Bursaspor | Bursaspor $458 | — | — | Bursaspor $634 |