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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Forecastication2 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (6656–6887, n=13543) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12778–13831, n=26609) | 62% (393–245, n=638) |
| Consensus PnL | -$349K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #893 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 36% (17 of 47 open) | 71% (58 of 82 open) | 64% (88 of 138 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 96% of 4861 at avg 58¢, ROI +27% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 82% of 390) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 27% (won 96% of 1321) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 38% (won 97% of 1828) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 98% of 1322) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Forecastication2 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | Steelers $726 | Browns $300K | Steelers $51 | — |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Jets $3.5K | Raiders $105K | Jets $255 | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | Cowboys $1.1K | Cardinals $32K | Cowboys $23 | — |
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | — | Browns $259K | Steelers $3.4K | — |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Jets $80 | Raiders $18K | — | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Falcons $8.6K | Buccaneers $39 | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $2.7K | Cowboys $611 | — |
| Raiders vs. Jets: O/U 46.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $2.2K | — | Under $312 | — |
| Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $1.1K | — | Under $3 | — |
| Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $3 | — | Under $1.0K | — |
| Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $727 | — | No $94 | — |
| Will CD Castellón win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $179 | — | No $15 | — |
| Vikings vs. Lions: O/U 46.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $72 | — | Over $1.2K | — |
| Will Burgos CF vs. CD Castellón end in a draw? same side · consensus No | Yes $207 | — | Yes $298 | — |
| Elche CF leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | Yes $69 | — | Yes $246 | — |
| Will CA River Plate win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $47 | — | Yes $183 | — |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 218.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $2 | — | Under $213 | — |
| Exact Score: Liverpool FC 1 - 3 Arsenal FC? same side · consensus No | Yes $8 | — | Yes $81 | — |
| Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $7 | — | Over $6 | — |