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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
HRTradingBreakTheBankRN1primm
Record (consensus markets)55% (2951–2450, n=5401)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$11K$10.6M$13.4M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #990PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus49% (87 of 176 open)73% (73 of 100 open)64% (21 of 33 open)46% (6 of 13 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +49 pts n=54, ROI +51%
  • Soccer +32 pts n=273, ROI +35%
  • Tennis +25 pts n=28, ROI +25%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 378 at avg 66¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 100% of 28)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 100% of 77)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢26% (won 99% of 97)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up47% (won 100% of 176)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketHRTradingBreakTheBankRN1primm
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Celtics $11Magic $13KMagic $161—
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $2Magic $51KMagic $228—
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $465K—Broncos $6.8K
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Celtics $169Magic $76K——
Celtics vs. Magic
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $213Magic $24K——
Grêmio FBPA vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $128—Under $9.2K—
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Falcons
——Falcons $2.7KBuccaneers $3.0K
Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich vs Liam Draxl
opposite sides · consensus Liam Draxl
Dylan Dietrich $3—Liam Draxl $5.2K—
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $45—No $2.2K—
Villa Maria: Felipe de Dios vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
opposite sides · consensus Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro $138—Felipe de Dios $1—
Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 200.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $124—Under $9—
Villa Maria: Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto vs Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen
opposite sides · consensus Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto
Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto $21—Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen $1—
Villa Maria: Valentin Garay vs Nicolas Bruna
opposite sides · consensus Nicolas Bruna
Valentin Garay $2—Nicolas Bruna $17—
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus Yes
No $31—No $3.3K—
Chargers vs. Rams
same side · consensus Rams
Chargers $29——Chargers $1.1K
Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $117—Under $954—
Bratislava 2: Jonas Forejtek vs Ryan Seggerman
same side · consensus Ryan Seggerman
Ryan Seggerman $13—Ryan Seggerman $294—
Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $66—Under $228—
Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 218.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $76—Under $213—
Will FC Supra Du Quebec win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $6—No $71—
Spread: Celtics (-3.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Magic $20—Magic $10—
Telstar 1963 vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1—Over $20—
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Celtics $8—Celtics $3—