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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HRTrading | RN1 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (2951–2450, n=5401) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $11K | $13.4M | $5.8M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #990 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 51% (74 of 146 open) | 53% (33 of 62 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 73% (72 of 98 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 378 at avg 66¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 100% of 28) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 100% of 77) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 26% (won 99% of 97) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 47% (won 100% of 176) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
18 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HRTrading | RN1 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Celtics $3 | Magic $161 | — | Magic $13K |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $2 | Magic $228 | — | Magic $51K |
| Spread: Celtics (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Celtics $115 | — | — | Magic $76K |
| Grêmio FBPA vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $73 | Under $9.2K | — | — |
| Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $112 | Over $7.0K | — | — |
| Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich vs Liam Draxl opposite sides · consensus Liam Draxl | Dylan Dietrich $1 | Liam Draxl $5.2K | — | — |
| Charlottesville: Jangjun Kim vs Ozan Baris opposite sides · consensus Ozan Baris | Jangjun Kim $4 | Ozan Baris $4.0K | — | — |
| Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $35 | No $2.2K | — | — |
| SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $1 | Over $768 | — | — |
| SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2 | Over $207 | — | — |
| Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $1 | Under $190 | — | — |
| Villa Maria: Felipe de Dios vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro opposite sides · consensus Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro $138 | Felipe de Dios $1 | — | — |
| Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | No $13 | Yes $102 | — | — |
| SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $32 | Under $30 | — | — |
| Exact Score: Athletic Club 3 - 2 Real Sociedad de Fútbol? opposite sides · consensus No | No $3 | Yes $26 | — | — |
| Villa Maria: Valentin Garay vs Nicolas Bruna opposite sides · consensus Nicolas Bruna | Valentin Garay $5 | Nicolas Bruna $17 | — | — |
| Villa Maria: Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto vs Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen opposite sides · consensus Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto | Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto $21 | Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen $1 | — | — |
| Cerro Porteno vs. Club Olimpia: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $2 | Under $4 | — | — |
| Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $55 | No $3.3K | — | — |
| Will Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $81 | No $2.6K | — | — |
| Exact Score: Athletic Club 0 - 0 Real Sociedad de Fútbol? same side · consensus No | No $1 | No $2.1K | — | — |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $86 | Under $954 | — | — |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $169 | No $516 | — | — |
| Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $11 | Under $643 | — | — |
| Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $2 | Over $526 | — | — |
| Bratislava 2: Jonas Forejtek vs Ryan Seggerman same side · consensus Ryan Seggerman | Ryan Seggerman $13 | Ryan Seggerman $294 | — | — |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 218.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $64 | Under $213 | — | — |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 220.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $23 | Under $228 | — | — |
| Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $6 | No $227 | — | — |
| Will FC Supra Du Quebec win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $3 | No $71 | — | — |
| Telstar 1963 vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $1 | Over $20 | — | — |
| Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus Yes | No $1 | No $18 | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-9.5) same side · consensus Magic | Celtics $8 | Celtics $3 | — | — |
| Cerro Porteno vs. Club Olimpia: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $1 | Under $9 | — | — |
| Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $1 | Under $6 | — | — |