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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ImJustKenRN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)28% (416–1096, n=1512)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$1.2M$13.4M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #800 + pinnedPM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus65% (93 of 143 open)62% (91 of 146 open)72% (74 of 103 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won38% of 1655 at avg 33¢, ROI 0%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢62% (won 6% of 1022)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 63% of 95)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢5% (won 80% of 81)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up28% (won 96% of 457)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketImJustKenRN1BreakTheBank
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
—Steelers $5.5KBrowns $255K
Raiders vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
—Jets $192Raiders $171K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $11KCardinals $59K
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Jets $400Raiders $17K
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Buccaneers $1.9KFalcons $8.6K
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $4.1K—Yes $4.7K
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $7.3K—No $590
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.7K—Yes $4.1K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
—Cowboys $1.4KCardinals $3.0K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $2.3KRaiders $104K
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $714Cardinals $35K
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $1.1KRaiders $24K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $643Jaguars $20K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $14—Yes $14K
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $14—Yes $164