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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| JSG3 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (16–12, n=28) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $44K | $5.8M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #475 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (15 of 18 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 72% (74 of 103 open) | 59% (17 of 29 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 61% of 28 at avg 58¢, ROI +11% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 100% of 2) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 29% (won 38% of 8) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 36% (won 70% of 10) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 29% (won 63% of 8) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.