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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Lilybaeum | CORGII | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (5627–4149, n=9776) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 48% (12778–13831, n=26609) |
| Consensus PnL | $995K | $4.5M | $3.5M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #251 | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 41% (11 of 27 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 62% (93 of 150 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 6070 at avg 63¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 98% of 414) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 29% (won 100% of 1750) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 18% (won 100% of 1122) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 46% (won 100% of 2784) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
18 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Lilybaeum | CORGII | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $4.0K | — | — | Over $30K |
| Bratislava 2: Andrej Martin vs Eero Vasa opposite sides · consensus Eero Vasa | Andrej Martin $142 | — | — | Eero Vasa $4.7K |
| Will US Lecce win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $14 | — | — | No $2.7K |
| Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $861 | — | — | Under $1.2K |
| Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $41 | — | — | No $530 |
| Burgos CF vs. CD Castellón: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $59 | — | — | Under $33 |
| Charlottesville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux opposite sides · consensus Shunsuke Mitsui | Geoffrey Blancaneaux $54 | — | — | Shunsuke Mitsui $5 |
| Will Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $4.0K | — | — | No $23K |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $3.7K | — | — | No $14K |
| Will Angers SCO win on 2026-10-31? same side · consensus No | No $1.3K | — | — | No $5.4K |
| Olympique Lyonnais vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $44 | — | — | Over $4.9K |
| Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Hugo Dellien same side · consensus Joaquin Aguilar | Joaquin Aguilar $181 | — | — | Joaquin Aguilar $3.9K |
| Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $298 | — | — | No $3.1K |
| Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $97 | — | — | Under $2.4K |
| Will Paris FC win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus Yes | No $160 | — | — | No $737 |
| Spread: PAOK Thessaloniki (-1.5) same side · consensus PAOK Thessaloniki | PAOK Thessaloniki $137 | — | — | PAOK Thessaloniki $674 |
| Will Burgos CF vs. CD Castellón end in a draw? same side · consensus No | Yes $49 | — | — | Yes $320 |
| Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $162 | — | — | No $70 |
| Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5) same side · consensus Arsenal FC | Liverpool FC $187 | — | — | Liverpool FC $5 |
| US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $38 | — | — | Over $100 |
| Will Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw? same side · consensus No | Yes $76 | — | — | Yes $2 |
| Will Elche CF vs. Valencia CF end in a draw? same side · consensus No | Yes $39 | — | — | Yes $38 |
| Will CD Castellón win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus Yes | No $36 | — | — | No $15 |
| PAOK Thessaloniki vs. Asteras Tripolis: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $26 | — | — | Under $15 |
| Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. Angers SCO end in a draw? same side · consensus No | Yes $29 | — | — | Yes $2 |