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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Lolakis | BreakTheBank | RN1 | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 69% (569–259, n=828) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 47% (13860–15343, n=29203) | 61% (495–320, n=815) |
| Consensus PnL | $95K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #868 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #51 |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (28 of 49 open) | 90% (146 of 163 open) | 83% (5 of 6 open) | 43% (3 of 7 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Soccer −1 pts, n=21 | — | — | Soccer ±0 pts, n=115 |
| Settled positions, side won | 54% of 870 at avg 51¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 37% (won 6% of 323) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 15% (won 29% of 125) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 40% of 102) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 34% (won 58% of 283) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 71% of 105) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 43% (won 69% of 354) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 98% of 340) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 7% (won 80% of 60) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
14 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.