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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Lolakis | BreakTheBank | surfandturf | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 69% (569–259, n=828) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 52% (273–252, n=525) | 62% (395–247, n=642) |
| Consensus PnL | $95K | $10.6M | $4.1M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #868 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #326 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (28 of 49 open) | 90% (146 of 163 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Soccer −1 pts, n=21 | — | NFL −11 pts, n=58 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 54% of 870 at avg 51¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 37% (won 6% of 323) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 20% (won 12% of 109) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 40% of 102) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 21% (won 46% of 114) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 71% of 105) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 33% (won 60% of 176) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 98% of 340) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 26% (won 82% of 137) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
14 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.