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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Lolakis | surfandturf | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 69% (569–259, n=828) | 52% (273–252, n=525) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $95K | $4.1M | $5.8M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #868 | was PM monthly #326 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (28 of 49 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 90% (146 of 163 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Soccer −1 pts, n=21 | NFL −11 pts, n=58 | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 54% of 870 at avg 51¢, ROI +2% | 53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 37% (won 6% of 323) | 20% (won 12% of 109) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 40% of 102) | 21% (won 46% of 114) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 71% of 105) | 33% (won 60% of 176) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 98% of 340) | 26% (won 82% of 137) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
14 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.