Skip to content
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Loyalty-CrashBreakTheBankCORGIIprimm
Record (consensus markets)60% (32–21, n=53)45% (526–640, n=1166)62% (393–245, n=638)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$85K$10.6M$4.5M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #998 + pinnedPM monthly #1PM monthly #68PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus73% (19 of 26 open)72% (79 of 110 open)0% (0 of 4 open)62% (26 of 42 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won65% of 63 at avg 53¢, ROI +16%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 28% of 18)10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 63% of 8)36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢19% (won 75% of 12)35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 88% of 25)20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketLoyalty-CrashBreakTheBankCORGIIprimm
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Bills $51K—Ravens $696
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $3.7KYes $38K——
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $694Yes $37K——
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $11KNo $24K——
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $24K—Jets $284
Spread: Bills (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Bills $2.1K—Ravens $376
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $378K—Bills $395
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $17KYes $272K——
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $43KYes $169K——
Raiders vs. Jets
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $171K—Raiders $5.8K
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $5.0KYes $72K——
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $12KNo $40K——
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $3.4KYes $2.2K——
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $3.0K—Cardinals $1.1K