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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| MadridTime | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (792–780, n=1572) | 65% (888–469, n=1357) | 47% (13363–14875, n=28238) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.0K | $4.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #789 | PM monthly #146 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (88 of 163 open) | 74% (35 of 47 open) | 64% (132 of 205 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 501 at avg 72¢, ROI +30% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 100% of 26) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 17% (won 100% of 85) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 19% (won 100% of 94) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 59% (won 100% of 296) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
25 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | MadridTime | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will AEK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $31K | No $234K | No $6.5K |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $3.2K | — | Yes $20K |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | No $8.2K | — | Yes $96 |
| Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold opposite sides · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy | Mika Brunold $3 | — | Nishesh Basavareddy $6.1K |
| Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 1 - 1 Liverpool FC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $848 | — | Yes $33 |
| Charlottesville: Braden Shick vs Darwin Blanch opposite sides · consensus Braden Shick | Braden Shick $691 | — | Darwin Blanch $18 |
| Cali: Despina Papamichail vs Renata Zarazua opposite sides · consensus Renata Zarazua | Renata Zarazua $203 | — | Despina Papamichail $2 |
| Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Olympiakós SFP | Stade Rennais FC 1901 $79 | — | Olympiakós SFP $104 |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $77 | — | No $31 |
| Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $93 | — | No $4 |
| Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 3 - 3 Liverpool FC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $19 | — | Yes $22 |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Ugo Humbert same side · consensus Matteo Berrettini | Matteo Berrettini $2.8K | — | Matteo Berrettini $13K |
| Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) same side · consensus Real Madrid CF | AEK $7.8K | — | AEK $5.5K |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $4.8K | — | Under $4.0K |
| Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $92 | — | Over $7.9K |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $30 | — | Under $6.8K |
| Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $522 | — | No $5.3K |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $40 | — | Under $5.4K |
| Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC? same side · consensus No | No $423 | — | No $4.4K |
| Bratislava 2: Lukas Pokorny vs Toby Samuel same side · consensus Toby Samuel | Toby Samuel $3.6K | — | Toby Samuel $434 |
| Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 2 - 1 Liverpool FC? same side · consensus No | No $18 | — | No $4.0K |
| Bratislava 2: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Zsombor Piros same side · consensus Zsombor Piros | Zsombor Piros $2.9K | — | Zsombor Piros $296 |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $10 | — | Under $2.7K |
| Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro same side · consensus Gonzalo Bueno | Eduardo Ribeiro $577 | — | Eduardo Ribeiro $2.0K |
| Villa Maria: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Hernan Casanova same side · consensus Juan Manuel La Serna | Juan Manuel La Serna $2.2K | — | Juan Manuel La Serna $13 |
| Cali: Alice Tubello vs Marina Bassols Ribera same side · consensus Alice Tubello | Marina Bassols Ribera $53 | — | Marina Bassols Ribera $1.9K |
| Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $697 | — | Yes $1.3K |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $374 | — | Under $1.5K |
| Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 - 0 Olympiakós SFP? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.2K | — | Yes $63 |
| Cali: Julia Grabher vs Julia Riera same side · consensus Julia Riera | Julia Grabher $133 | — | Julia Grabher $789 |
| Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 1 - 2 Liverpool FC? same side · consensus No | No $666 | — | No $21 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus Yes | No $445 | — | No $73 |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | No $86 | — | No $12 |
| Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5) same side · consensus Stade Rennais FC 1901 | Olympiakós SFP $5 | — | Olympiakós SFP $32 |
| Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $6 | — | Over $6 |