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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
MadridTimendb1RN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)49% (855–893, n=1748)65% (892–472, n=1364)47% (13369–14864, n=28233)50% (19440–19510, n=38950)
Consensus PnL$10K$4.6M$14.8M$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #726PM monthly #96PM monthly #30 + pinnedPM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus57% (63 of 110 open)78% (39 of 50 open)61% (236 of 389 open)69% (140 of 202 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +48 pts n=71, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=369, ROI +27%
  • Tennis +21 pts n=32, ROI +21%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won100% of 501 at avg 72¢, ROI +30%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 100% of 26)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢17% (won 100% of 85)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢19% (won 100% of 94)24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up59% (won 100% of 296)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

74 on the same side, 90 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketMadridTimendb1RN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.5KUnder $21K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $382Under $7.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $3.1KNo $3.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K
Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $4.8KYes $1.3K
Will Göztepe SK vs. Gaziantep FK end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $309No $5.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.4KUnder $3.2K
Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $4.5KUnder $753
West Ham United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $4.2KUnder $721
Exact Score: Manchester City FC 1 - 0 Coventry City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $977Yes $3.3K
Frosinone Calcio vs. Venezia FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.4KUnder $2.3K
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-09-09?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $676No $2.9K
Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $2—Over $3.4K—
Cagliari Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.2KUnder $2.1K
Cardiff City FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $15—Over $2.9K—
Clube do Remo vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.8KUnder $160
Will Cúcuta Deportivo FC vs. Independiente Santa Fe end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $35—No $2.8K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $7No $2.6K
Gil Vicente FC vs. Académico de Viseu FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $390Under $2.2K
FC København vs. AC Horsens: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.1KUnder $154
Yellow-Red KV Mechelen vs. RSC Anderlecht: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.4KNo $675
Will Bristol City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $123—No $1.9K—
Exact Score: Everton FC 1 - 2 Manchester United FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.0KYes $872
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $223
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $3Under $1.9K
CA Rosario Central vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $535Under $1.3K
Exact Score: Chelsea FC 2 - 0 Leeds United FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $2No $1.8K
Will Avaí FC win on 2026-09-09?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1No $1.8K
Will Virtus Entella win on 2026-09-11?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $491Yes $1.3K
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $955Over $584
São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $12—Under $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $35Under $1.5K
AS Nancy-Lorraine vs. Stade de Reims: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $162Over $1.4K
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: SK Slavia Praha O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $2—Under $1.5K—
Millwall FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $951Under $516
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. AC Monza: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $58No $1.4K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.3KYes $36
Will Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $3—No $1.3K—
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1—Under $1.2K—
Will Empoli FC vs. SS Arezzo end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $618No $476
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $713Under $361
Spread: Club Brugge KV (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Aston Villa FC
——Club Brugge KV $13Aston Villa FC $1.0K
Spread: Central Michigan (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
Eastern Michigan $230—Central Michigan $815—
Spread: Toledo (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
Sacramento State $17—Toledo $972—
Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $401—Over $583—
São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $76—Over $891—
CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $742Yes $155
Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sporting CP
——Sporting CP $843Galatasaray SK $26
Blackhawks vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $467—Over $273—
Oregon State vs. Houston: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $686Under $9