Skip to content
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
PaddyAlphaRN1CORGIIprimm
Record (consensus markets)68% (541–258, n=799)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)62% (393–245, n=638)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$22K$13.4M$4.5M$3.4M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus59% (66 of 111 open)63% (90 of 144 open)0% (0 of 4 open)59% (17 of 29 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won82% of 928 at avg 78¢, ROI 0%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢16% (won 10% of 146)10% (won 56% of 2534)9% (won 92% of 36)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 67% of 27)22% (won 94% of 5497)56% (won 99% of 223)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢6% (won 79% of 52)36% (won 99% of 8897)33% (won 100% of 133)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up76% (won 97% of 703)31% (won 100% of 7736)2% (won 100% of 7)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketPaddyAlphaRN1CORGIIprimm
Spread: Bills (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $847—Bills $4.5K
Spread: Buccaneers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Falcons $591—Buccaneers $2.0K
Browns vs. Steelers: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.0K—Under $1.2K
Spread: Raiders (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Jets $2.1K—Raiders $138
Spread: Buccaneers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Falcons $321—Buccaneers $1.6K
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.6K—Under $65
Spread: Steelers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
—Steelers $211—Browns $471
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 64.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $6.9K—Under $2.8K
Spread: Bills (-7.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Bills $1.5K—Bills $4.8K
Spread: Buccaneers (-7.5)
same side · consensus Falcons
—Buccaneers $1.3K—Buccaneers $1.5K
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 54.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.5K—Over $1.1K
Spread: Jaguars (-14.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $1.8K—Jaguars $4
Spread: Bills (-10.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Bills $775—Bills $988
Spread: Buccaneers (-4.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
—Buccaneers $90—Buccaneers $1.5K
Falcons vs. Buccaneers
same side · consensus Buccaneers
—Falcons $1.1K—Falcons $303
Raiders vs. Jets: O/U 56.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $258—Under $828
Falcons vs. Buccaneers: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $546—Over $2