Skip to content
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
PutsOnPeaceCORGIIBreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)64% (652–366, n=1018)62% (393–245, n=638)45% (526–640, n=1166)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$14K$4.5M$10.6M$3.4M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #68PM monthly #1PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus65% (61 of 94 open)25% (1 of 4 open)74% (71 of 96 open)53% (9 of 17 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicNHL −17 pts, n=10———
Settled positions, side won63% of 1260 at avg 60¢, ROI +1%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢28% (won 8% of 356)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 85% of 53)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢8% (won 38% of 102)56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 192)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢13% (won 69% of 160)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 187)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up51% (won 97% of 642)2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 107)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketPutsOnPeaceCORGIIBreakTheBankprimm
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
——Chiefs $465KBroncos $6.8K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $293—No $184K—
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $30—Yes $4.1K—
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
opposite sides · consensus No
No $190—Yes $1.1K—
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $30—No $590—
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $215—Yes $272K—
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $140—Yes $169K—
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $123—Yes $73K—
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $88—No $35K—
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $25—No $10K—
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $9—Yes $943—