← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| RN1 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | omnibus-076daa | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 50% (14291–14380, n=28671) |
| Consensus PnL | $13.4M | $5.8M | $10.6M | $3.3M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #27 |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (63 of 119 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 72% (73 of 102 open) | 46% (31 of 68 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 91% of 10809 at avg 60¢, ROI +32% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 8% (won 59% of 872) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 21% (won 86% of 2312) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 38% (won 94% of 4141) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 99% of 3484) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
16 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | RN1 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | omnibus-076daa |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $1.4K | — | Cardinals $3.0K | Cowboys $131 |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $12K | — | Cardinals $59K | — |
| Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $2.5K | — | — | Under $18K |
| Costa do Sauipe: Andre Souza vs Wilson Leite opposite sides · consensus Wilson Leite | Wilson Leite $12K | — | — | Andre Souza $1.0K |
| Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $7.0K | — | — | Under $1.6K |
| Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich vs Liam Draxl opposite sides · consensus Dylan Dietrich | Liam Draxl $5.2K | — | — | Dylan Dietrich $36 |
| Charlottesville: Jangjun Kim vs Ozan Baris opposite sides · consensus Ozan Baris | Ozan Baris $4.0K | — | — | Jangjun Kim $951 |
| Spread: Bills (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Bills $4.0K | — | — | Ravens $80 |
| Spread: Bills (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Bills | Bills $4.0K | — | — | Ravens $18 |
| Exact Score: Athletic Club 0 - 0 Real Sociedad de Fútbol? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.1K | — | — | Yes $21 |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 220.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $228 | — | — | Over $573 |
| Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $102 | — | — | No $110 |
| Villa Maria: Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto vs Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen opposite sides · consensus Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto | Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen $1 | — | — | Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto $2 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $272K | Yes $2.9K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $77K | Yes $1.8K |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $73K | Yes $116 |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Bills $18K | — | Bills $51K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $228 | — | Magic $51K | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $28K | Yes $2.9K |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $161 | — | Magic $13K | — |
| Grêmio FBPA vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $9.2K | — | — | Under $19 |
| Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $6.7K | — | — | No $77 |
| Will Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw? same side · consensus No | Yes $108 | — | — | Yes $5.1K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $2.2K | — | — | Under $290 |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $516 | — | — | No $90 |
| Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $526 | — | — | Over $59 |
| Charlottesville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux same side · consensus Shunsuke Mitsui | Shunsuke Mitsui $5 | — | — | Shunsuke Mitsui $452 |
| Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 52.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $30 | — | — | Under $160 |
| Real Sociedad de Fútbol leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | Yes $54 | — | — | Yes $5 |